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Why Did Biden Lose His Lead?
His negatives are dragging him down
It wasn’t that long ago when the Democratic universe was in a tizz. Polls showed Biden pulling ahead of Trump. Finally. The tide was turning. Trump’s legal problems were catching up with him. The electorate had finally wakened up to what a great job Biden was doing. This was the beginning of Biden’s glide path to re-election.
I didn’t write about it at the time because you know me. The eternal pessimist. Instead of looking at the positives, I was looking at the negatives. Which hadn’t changed. Biden’s negatives, that is.
Young people don’t want to vote for him.
Arab Americans and Muslim Americans don’t want to vote for him.
He is losing support in both the Black and Hispanic communities.
And, sure enough, the negatives caught up with him. Recent polls by the New York Times, Siena College, and the Philadelphia Inquirer put Trump ahead with registered voters in five out of six battleground states: Arizona, Georgia, Michigan, Nevada, and Pennsylvania. Biden led in one battleground state, Wisconsin.
That was in a hypothetical head-to-head race. In hypothetical race that included third party candidates, Robert Kennedy won 10 percent of the vote, drawing voters equally from Trump and Biden.
